Low Cost Airlines Fueling The Latest Civil Aviation Boom?

With Ryanair and Lion Air ordering billions of dollars worth of new planes, is the budget airline sector fueling the latest civil aviation boom? 

By: Ringo Bones 

Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary might have picked the very right time to order 15.6 billion US dollars worth of the new Boeing 737 Max aircraft. After all, with Boeing’s on-going problems with the lithium ion batteries of the auxiliary power unit of their fleet of 787 Dreamliners already in service around the world, the Ryanair CEO could easily negotiate Boeing to buy a new fleet of 737 Max at a very keen price. 

On the East Asian low cost airline scene, Indonesia’s Lion Air  - currently Indonesia’s largest privately run airline company - decides to buy 24 billion US dollars worth of new fleet of aircraft from Airbus back in March 19, 2013 given that budget air travel is the only economically viable business move in the region at the moment. But can the budget airline sector manage to revitalize the currently struggling civil aviation market? 

Even though well-healed tourists had always associated budget airlines with shoddy sub-par service, overseas contract workers – especially from the economically depressed parts of the East Asian region – had been embracing low-cost carriers since the late 1990s as their commute of choice on their way to work in the more affluent parts of the Persian Gulf to earn money for their families. And if the world’s major civil aviation firms manage to make keenly priced intermediate range passenger planes favored by low cost airline operators, then maybe, low cost airlines could spearhead the global economic recovery all of us desperately needs. 

F-35 Lightning: Not Airworthy?

As the current most expensive weapons systems procurement program by The Pentagon, is the F-35 Lightning’s jet engine problems affecting its airworthiness status?

By: Ringo Bones 

 

Back in February 25, 2013, a news story aired about a fleet of 50 F-35 Lightning aircraft were grounded after a routine maintenance discovered cracks in one of the plane’s turbine blades of its Pratt & Whitney F135 jet engine. Given that the F-35 program is currently The Pentagon’s most expensive weapons systems procurement program, will this turbine blade problem eventually affect its airworthiness? 

Given that current Federal laws still prohibit the export of the 120 million US dollar F-22 Raptor – even to America’s allies – Lockheed Martin developed a “budget” version of the Raptor called the F-35 Lightning during the late 1990s and it currently retails around 85 million US dollars each. Currently there are two variants of the F-35 – a conventional takeoff and landing version that needs 10,000-foot runways that Turkey and other American allies had been eyeing to purchase since 2010 and a short-takeoff-and-vertical-landing or STOVL version which the UK had been also eyeing to buy as a replacement for its ageing fleet of Harrier jump jets. 

Ever since the first decade of the 21^st Century, Lockheed Martin had been pitching the F-35 Lightning – especially its conventional takeoff and landing version – as the logical replacement of the F-16 Fighting Falcon, although these days, the top brass of the various arms of the US DoD had been eyeing the F-35 as a viable replacement of the A-10 Warthog and the F-18 Hornet. And there are two main capabilities of the F-35 that is absent of the older generation of military aircraft it sets to replace – like stealth and supercruise. 

As with the F-22 Raptor, the F-35 Lightning was designed with stealth capability - that is it is very hard to “see” or detect using conventional air defense radar. And its lightweight mostly composite material airframe allow the F-35 to have supercruise capability – i.e. fly supersonic without turning on its jet engines fuel hungry afterburners and like the F-22, the F-35 only requires the pilot to turn the afterburners only if he or she wishes to fly faster than Mach 1.5. 

Also, the short-takeoff-and-landing or STOVL version of the F-35 Lightning also has the advantage over the Harrier jump-jet it sets to replace due to its use of a lifting fan. The F-35’s lifting fan allow it to perform a very short running 100-yard takeoff and land vertically without the hot-gas ingestion problems that often cause the Harrier to crash during vertical landing maneuvers. 

IN the austere fiscal era of the post credit crunch world were shrinking national defense budgets are the norm - rater than the exception, Lockheed Martin’s F-35 Lightning seems to be the best high performance military aircraft out there with a good price-performance ratio, if only the famed aerospace firm can solve its current turbine blade crack problems. If it does, it could probably become a leading figure in the aerospace industry for years to come despite the world’s ever shrinking national defense budgets.     

Lithium Ion Batteries: Not Airworthy?

With the recent fire that grounded fleets of Boeing 787 Dreamliner passenger planes due to their auxiliary power unit batteries being a fire hazard, are lithium ion batteries not airworthy?

By: Ringo Bones

Believe it or not, the world’s first all-electric powered propeller plane that has successfully flown – Calin Gologan’s Elektra One – uses lithium ion batteries as its primary power source and there are already large-scale all-electric passenger planes intended aimed for airline company use already in the works of Bauhaus Luftfahrt that will be powered with 40-megawatt-hour lithium ion batteries. Given their allegedly inherent fire hazard, why are lithium ion batteries got airworthy credentials despite the ones supplying the auxiliary power unit of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner that entered service with JAL and ANA were recently deemed a “fire hazard” in a recent Federal Aviation Administration inquiry?

As a fruit of our continuously galloping technology, lithium ion batteries are a notch above nickel cadmium and nickel metal hydride storage batteries that are a few rungs below it on the battery technology evolutionary scale. While lead acid / lead calcium storage batteries – which might work just fine for golf carts and short-range all electric cars – are deemed too heavy for aviation use. Even the nickel cadmium and those nickel metal hydride batteries used in hybrid cars just don’t have the power-to-weight-ratio requisite for general aviation applications.

The secret of the lithium ion batteries high power-to-weight ratio is its inherently low internal resistance compared to nickel cadmium or nickel metal hydride batteries of similar watt-hour ratings. Although, at the moment, lithium ion batteries seems like the ideal battery – the inherent fire hazard of its design was first noted in the remote controlled model plane hobbyist world and in Airsoft electric gun gaming world because less than ideal charging and discharging cycles in its applications always lead to the cause of hydrogen gas build-up which can be highly inflammable when it leaks and ignited by a stray electrical spark. Given its inherent fire hazard, aircraft manufacturer Airbus are already finding alternatives of the lithium ion battery planned to be used on the auxiliary power plant of its upcoming A350 plane due to the recent battery fire on the Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Will the next generation of lithium ion batteries intended for aviation use should be made more fire resistant or have a built-in fire suppression system? 

The Boeing 787 Dreamliner: A Flying Nightmare?

With a Japan Air Lines Boeing 787 Dreamliner recently having its auxiliary power unit’s batteries catching fire, is the new jumbo jet a “flying nightmare”?

By: Ringo Bones

Maybe its just due to the inevitable technical “teething problems” of a new product being introduced into a rather “technically conservative” market of the currently financially austere airline industry, but probably all frequent flyers still hope that the glitches currently plaguing the recently introduced Boeing 787 Dreamliner won’t result in a rather tragic crash in a near future. Unfortunately as of late, certain shaken passengers and JAL executives back in Tokyo now harbor the impression that Boeing’s latest headlining product – the Boeing 787 Dreamliner – could be a “flying nightmare”.

With a much delayed rollout that its maiden flight only happened near the tail end of 2011, Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner had been plagued by a recent spate of technical difficulties that now endanger the plane’s long-term economic viability in the currently financially austere global airline industry. There had been only 46 Dreamliners had been delivered by Boeing to its customers so far, and now, 5 of them had been grounded for thorough preventive maintenance due to the recent problems experienced by a couple Japan Air Lines owned 787 Dreamliners.

Back in Monday, January 7, 2013, a Japan Air Lines operated Boeing 787 Dreamliner’s auxiliary power unit’s batteries caught fire while waiting for its scheduled flight in Boston which resulted in an emergency evacuation of passengers and crew. A few days before, another JAL owned 787 Dreamliner’s scheduled flight was cancelled due to a fuel leak. Fortunately, both harrowing incidences never resulted in a single loss of life, but will it tarnish the image of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner as a “flying nightmare”?

It seems that every relatively newly rolled-out plane tends to experience technical teething problems during the first few years of regular service. Back in November 4, 2010, Qantas had experienced problems with the Rolls Royce Trent 900 turbofan engines used in their then newly acquired Airbus A380 Superjumbo – i.e. the Qantas Flight 32 incident. Fortunately, the problem too was resolved by the plane’s heroic flight-crew with no loss of life. Maybe the Boeing 787 Dreamliner needs new “fireproof” batteries to prevent another battery fire. 

BAE – EADS Merger: Economically Freshly Still-Born?

Slated to supposedly result in the biggest non-American aerospace firm, is the BAE – EADS merger be freshly still born due to insurmountable regulatory hurdles and declining defense markets?

By: Ringo Bones

Even though concerned parties may have until Wednesday, October 10, 2012 to decide to give the green light of the proposed merger of BAE – EADS, regulatory hurdles permitting. And at the proverbial “11^th Hour” of the proposed merger, there is still no agreement between the governments of France, Germany and the UK despite Number 10 Downing Street stating that state ownership of the resulting aerospace firm should be limited. Given the seemingly insurmountable regulatory hurdles, politics and the “declining defense markets”, will the BAE – EADS merger, if it goes through, result in an economically viable merger?

INVESCO – the main underwriter of the merger was never shy in recently stating that there’s no strategic logic in the proposed merger. And to “seasoned observers” in the post Cold War development of the global aerospace / defense industry – a.k.a. the proverbial “Military-Industrial-Complex”, the oft quoted buzzword of the “declining defense markets” seems to be a euphemism for Al Qaeda and the Afghan Taliban not having a preexisting aerospace industry in which the remaining superpower has to destroy as the world’s aerospace and defense industries’ makes a really handsome profit. So if the merger goes through, how will it ever make a profit?

In our post-9/11 world where America and her NATO allies are currently busily involved in the “War on Terror”, the only pieces of military hardware oft used in this on-going conflict are large propeller driven military troop carriers and long-haul subsonic high capacity long jumbo-jet like cargo planes. Not to mention the odd unmanned aerial drone or two. The truth is, the post-9/11 War on Terror is not just as profitable to established global aerospace and defense firms as the saber-rattling between the US and USSR during the height of the Cold War.  

JAL Relisting: The Airline Industry Still Profitable?

With the recent relisting of Japan Air Lines in the Tokyo Stock Exchange since filing for bankruptcy two years ago a sign that the airline industry is still profitable?

By: Ringo Bones

With an IPO valued at 8.5 billion US dollars – second only to the recent Facebook IPO as the biggest share sale for 2012 - and currently the most actively traded stock in the Tokyo Stock Market as of September 19, 2012, JAL, Japan Air Lines is now relisted and back in the black. It seems like one of Asia’s biggest airlines was destined for a “disappearing act”, but will this recent rally be the signal that the global airline industry is still profitable?

Around the start of the global economic downturn back in 2008, the two biggest “threats” endangering the long-term profitability of the airline industry are sky-high fuel prices and the decline in international tourism – which is primarily caused by the global economic downturn in the first place. Japan Air Lines was delisted back in February 2010 and had been running on Japanese government bailout money since. Thankfully, JAL’s profitability is now on a level that not only enables the airline company to pay back the government bailout funds but also to be able to have it relisted on the Tokyo Stock Market and issue IPOs.

Potential investors are warned, though, because tenured financial analysts still have caveats over the rather short return to profitability of JAL given the size of the airline company and the scope of its financial losses back in 2010. And given that the Japanese government had recently given the green light for a quantitative easing to stimulate flagging business in the country, JAL’s position of being the most actively traded stock in the Tokyo Stock Exchange today could, hopefully, last for sometime. 

The Saab J35 Draken: The Most Beautiful Jet in the World?

It was designed back in the mid 1950s as a state-of-the-art supersonic capable interceptor for the Swedish Air Force as a defense against marauding Soviet-era bombers, does the Saab Draken still deserve the title as the most beautiful jet fighter in the world?

 By: Ringo Bones

 As it was slowly phased out during the latter half of the 1990s, quite a large number of Seattle Grunge Rock fans have noticed that somewhat obvious Swedish Saab J35 Draken flyby 4 minutes and 4 seconds into the music video of Burden In My Hand by Soundgarden back in 1996. Many of the "Young Turks" marveled the beauty of the Draken's double-delta design and was somewhat crestfallen when they found out a few weeks later that the jet was made in Sweden as opposed to being made in the good old US of A. So there are still people who marveled at its beauty near its retirement back then - but 15 or so years on, can the Swedish Saab J35 Draken still deserve being called the most beautiful jet aircraft in the world?

 Well, given that the F-22 Raptor has been described as a "bad elementary school origami" by some under-15 aerospace enthusiasts, and it seems like Osama Bin Laden's Al Qaeda never established their own aerospace industry to rival the big-wigs Boeing and Lockheed-Martin into some form of post Cold War aerospace beauty pageant using new generation of fighter planes. Then, it seems like the Swedish Saab J35 Draken may be in the foreseeable future may still be called and deserving of the title as the most beautiful jet fighter in the world - bar none.

 Looking back, it seems like the Saab Draken's most striking feature of it's "beauty" was its double-delta wing design that not just enable it to fly at very high speeds and altitutes to intercept incoming squadrons of bombers, but also to enable the jet to carry more fuel and weapons that conventionally-winged designs. Oh by the way, most Swedish jet fighters designed after World War II are capable in taking off and landing on ordinary asphalted motorways - which is a plus if your lucky enough to afford a mothballed second hand Saab J35 Draken these days. Which some say only the XB-70 Valkyrie rivals it in sheer beauty, right?